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Dec 5, 2012
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the market is telling us that the fiscal cliff is not going to happen. the only risk is if it doesn't happen. boehner stepped in front of the microphone the day after the election and this market tanked. that's a clear signal to washington they better get it right. >> i think ben is right on the money. this is basically what is happening. there's an enormous amount of room for disappointment in this market. this market is expecting a deal. i don't know why all of the sudden today we get this triple-digit move as if something is happening. if we don't get a deal, how big of a sell-off can we see? >> well, we've seen the t.a.r.p. disappointment. we've seen the debt ceiling disappointment. i think if we go over the cliff, we're going to have a very big sell-off, then the politicians are going to go, hey, we're here to the rescue. >> what's fueling this optimism then? >> i think we have seen the idea that the market has voted to tell washington they need to get it right with the sell-offs we have seen. the anticipation is they want to get re-elected. they un
the market is telling us that the fiscal cliff is not going to happen. the only risk is if it doesn't happen. boehner stepped in front of the microphone the day after the election and this market tanked. that's a clear signal to washington they better get it right. >> i think ben is right on the money. this is basically what is happening. there's an enormous amount of room for disappointment in this market. this market is expecting a deal. i don't know why all of the sudden today we get...
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Dec 3, 2012
12/12
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a gop counteroffer on the fiscal cliff is just being released. let's go to e-mailen j amon jav >> they say boehner is offering multi-step solution here, including what he's after is $800 billion in revenue through tax reform. that's obviously significantly less than the $1.6 trillion the president asked for his-n his initial offer last week. other details in this offer being reported by nbc. health savings of $600 billion. other mandatory savings of $300 billion. a revision to cpi of $200 billion. and further discretionary savings of $300 billion. guys, it looks like the horse trading is alive and well here in washington. now this offer being extended from the republicans. you can assume that the white house will not think this is enough tax revenue to go forward, but, of course, offers are being exchanged here so that's a sign negotiations are under way, guys. >> let's get into the details here. $600 billion in health savings. what does that mean for medicare? break it down in terms of where these savings come from. >> i wish i could. what we do
a gop counteroffer on the fiscal cliff is just being released. let's go to e-mailen j amon jav >> they say boehner is offering multi-step solution here, including what he's after is $800 billion in revenue through tax reform. that's obviously significantly less than the $1.6 trillion the president asked for his-n his initial offer last week. other details in this offer being reported by nbc. health savings of $600 billion. other mandatory savings of $300 billion. a revision to cpi of $200...
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Dec 7, 2012
12/12
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. >>> john boehner said this morning it was a week that was wasted in the fiscal cliff discussions, but the market sure isn't trading that way. how come? >> good question. with us today is david darst. what do you reckon, david? how come? >> i think you got the four cs. you got consumer confidence. you've got the china situation looking a little better. you've got consumer credit looking better, mandy. finally, take liberty with that fourth c, house prices. they're hanging in there. that's been one thing. on the other hand, you have a deceleration going on this quarter, mandy. our best guess is it's going to come in at about 0.8%. first quarter, 0.9%. >> what are you talking about, gdp? >> on gdp. the second quarter, 1.2%. you're seeing a deceleration here. this is basically e quill librium. it's not just the fiscal cliff, mandy, that's causing the market to do this seesaw action. >> we highlighted yesterday how the german and french markets hit 52-week highs yesterday. we're not close to that. we hit our highs in september and haven't looked back. are we being held back by the fiscal c
. >>> john boehner said this morning it was a week that was wasted in the fiscal cliff discussions, but the market sure isn't trading that way. how come? >> good question. with us today is david darst. what do you reckon, david? how come? >> i think you got the four cs. you got consumer confidence. you've got the china situation looking a little better. you've got consumer credit looking better, mandy. finally, take liberty with that fourth c, house prices. they're hanging...
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Nov 29, 2012
11/12
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again, it continues to be all about the fiscal cliff. geithner, boehner, and reid and any little nugget of information we get there continues to whip saw the market. don't expect any changes tomorrow or really next week until we get more clarity on that situation. the up shot of that is companies continue to make these special dividends, borrowing cheap in the bond market in many cases and continue to pay these dividends before the end of the year. >> all right. we'll be watching that. darren, you're up. 30 seconds on the clock. >> i'm looking at the euro. looking for the pullback to the 129.50 level. i do think we're going to hold that level and push higher. that will push risk assets higher as well. i'm looking for a consolidation of the s&p overnight. once we get through chicago purchasing managers, i think we're going to reverse to the up side. we'll end the week on a strong note. again, it will be whippy with headline to headline. i don't think we're going to get many headlines into the weekend. >> all right. thanks so much. last bu
again, it continues to be all about the fiscal cliff. geithner, boehner, and reid and any little nugget of information we get there continues to whip saw the market. don't expect any changes tomorrow or really next week until we get more clarity on that situation. the up shot of that is companies continue to make these special dividends, borrowing cheap in the bond market in many cases and continue to pay these dividends before the end of the year. >> all right. we'll be watching that....
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Dec 6, 2012
12/12
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let's start with the fiscal cliff issue. when it comes to higher taxes, you seem to disagree with house speaker boehner when he says raising taxes on the highest earners will hurt jobs. can you elaborate on that? >> i think what the speaker is saying quite correctly is you don't want to increase taxes on the job creators. the problem here is the 1986 act that equalized corporate and personal rates. so the most important thing is to have an internationally competitive corporate rate of 25% and a territorial tax system and then individuals who have been filing their businesses as s-corporations or pass-through corporations can incorporate and get that lower rate. they can negotiate on the individual rates. >> so you don't think the ordinary income, then, the 39.6% that we're talking about, in that case, would apply to small business. they would fall under the corporate tax rate. >> yes, exactly. people forget that until 1986, corporate and individual rates were separate. a big part of the '86 act was to equalize them. there's
let's start with the fiscal cliff issue. when it comes to higher taxes, you seem to disagree with house speaker boehner when he says raising taxes on the highest earners will hurt jobs. can you elaborate on that? >> i think what the speaker is saying quite correctly is you don't want to increase taxes on the job creators. the problem here is the 1986 act that equalized corporate and personal rates. so the most important thing is to have an internationally competitive corporate rate of 25%...
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Nov 29, 2012
11/12
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fiscal cliff is important, but there's a lot of issues for the next several years that are going to be important to the treasury market. once his comments were made, equities got a little volatile. you can see that was it. the treasury traders pretty much stopped trading, and it's been light volume ever since. >> but one issue, i guess, isn't there so much room to disappoint this market? given the fact the it is moving so much on any commentary out of washington, if we go over the fiscal cliff by december 31, is there a big opportunity for this market to sell off? it doesn't seem like it's priced in that we go over. >> maria, if we go over the cliff, sure, we're going to have a reactionary selloff. when you look at the fed now talking about qe-4, economic statistics are getting better, not worse. europe is slow e lily resolving issues. >> that reverses in the first quarter if we go over the cliff. >> it depends how we go over. if we go over for a couple days and they get a deal, it's fine. if this thing really breaks down, sure, that's not priced in. i don't think that's where we're go
fiscal cliff is important, but there's a lot of issues for the next several years that are going to be important to the treasury market. once his comments were made, equities got a little volatile. you can see that was it. the treasury traders pretty much stopped trading, and it's been light volume ever since. >> but one issue, i guess, isn't there so much room to disappoint this market? given the fact the it is moving so much on any commentary out of washington, if we go over the fiscal...
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Dec 7, 2012
12/12
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. >>> house speaker john boehner says fiscal cliff talks remain stuck in neutral. >> the president insist on his position. insist on my way or the highway. >> well, going over that highway and the fiscal cliff would kill thousands of jobs, especially in the defense sector and the head of a defense contractor who will feel that pain joins us next along with former vermont governor howard dean who argues maybe going over the fiscal cliff will be the best thing for the nation. >>> later, we have the former chairman of the council of economic advisers under president bush. he's going to join us as well as laura tyson, the former head of the cea under president clinton. we're going to get their take on the cliff and today's jobs number. >>> also, tough week for apple shares. is now the time to load up? stick around for the apple trade in the back half of this hour. stay tuned. [ male announcer ] when this hotel added aflac to provide a better benefits package... oahhh! [ male announcer ] it made a big splash with the employees. [ duck yelling ] [ male announcer ] find out more at... [ duck ] a
. >>> house speaker john boehner says fiscal cliff talks remain stuck in neutral. >> the president insist on his position. insist on my way or the highway. >> well, going over that highway and the fiscal cliff would kill thousands of jobs, especially in the defense sector and the head of a defense contractor who will feel that pain joins us next along with former vermont governor howard dean who argues maybe going over the fiscal cliff will be the best thing for the nation....
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Dec 6, 2012
12/12
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. >>> and finally tonight, my observation on the ongoing talks in washington over the fiscal cliff. reporting in the last half an hour that speaker boehner and the white house are finally resuming negotiations. albeit at staff levels, but it's a start. and i have a suspicion we might see more progress soon. you see, finally lawmakers are motivated. unfortunately, i don't think the motivation is to put america on a sustainable fiscal path. i think what's driving them is their scheduled vacations. yes. i really do. now, i know they'd never admit it, but look at the facts. everybody is planning to get out of d.c. for good two weeks from tomorrow, december 21st. including the president who already has an extended hawaii trip planned beginning december 17th. you'd think the fact that every working american's taxes will go up on january 1 without a deal would get them talking or that defense analysts telling us over and over if we go over the cliff, 40,000 jobs will be cut immediately in that sector and that's just lighting the fire for other cuts or widespread beliefs that we will have a
. >>> and finally tonight, my observation on the ongoing talks in washington over the fiscal cliff. reporting in the last half an hour that speaker boehner and the white house are finally resuming negotiations. albeit at staff levels, but it's a start. and i have a suspicion we might see more progress soon. you see, finally lawmakers are motivated. unfortunately, i don't think the motivation is to put america on a sustainable fiscal path. i think what's driving them is their scheduled...
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Nov 30, 2012
11/12
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stocks trade on fiscal cliff comments from president obama and john boehner. >> no substantive progress has been made in the talks between the white house and the house over the last two weeks. >> republicans know where we stand. we've said it, we've said it, we've said it so many times. >> i think all of us today are confident we can reach a bipartisan agreement by christmas time. >> according to congressional republican aides, they say they have obtained a copy of the white house's proffer here. at least $50 billion in new spending. >> do you have faith in any of them to rise above? >> would it be okay to go over? >> we will rise above. >> morgan stanley wealth management's chief investment strategist up next with his list of winners and losers. plus, how you can make money in these shaky markets as the year winds down. >>> later, as lawsuits pile up and hewlett-packard stock suffers, carly fiorina will join me for her first interview since the autonomy disaster came to light. wait until you hear who she says deserves the blame. >>> also, social security and medicare in focus. is this
stocks trade on fiscal cliff comments from president obama and john boehner. >> no substantive progress has been made in the talks between the white house and the house over the last two weeks. >> republicans know where we stand. we've said it, we've said it, we've said it so many times. >> i think all of us today are confident we can reach a bipartisan agreement by christmas time. >> according to congressional republican aides, they say they have obtained a copy of the...